USA vs Australia Прогноз ЧМ 2026

USA60%

1.66

=Draw22%

4.60

Australia18%

5.64

The USA are the clear and justified favourites to win this match on home soil, supported by superior form, a higher FIFA ranking, greater squad depth, and a vociferous home crowd at SoFi Stadium. The market's implied probability of 60% for a USA win appears conservative given these combined advantages, and a USA win at 1.66 offers solid value. A confidence rating of 75% reflects the professional quality both teams possess at World Cup level, while acknowledging that the Socceroos are capable of competitive performances on the biggest stage.

Under 3 Goals — This match has the hallmarks of a moderately scored affair, with the USA's attacking quality and home advantage likely to produce at least one or two goals in their favour. Australia's disciplined defensive shape may limit the total, but the USMNT's pace and creativity should still break through on multiple occasions. The Under 3 goals market at 1.45 reflects the bookmakers' expectation of a controlled rather than free-scoring contest, though a USA win by a narrow margin of two goals is the most probable outcome.